28 Mar 2025

To invest is to go out on a limb

Investing is an act carried out mostly in faith. We can look at hundreds of different data points or read dozens of books and research papers. But none of that—literally none of that—can guarantee anything about the future.

Any asset we pick, any strategy we pick—there will be a dozen arguments supporting them and a dozen opposing them. Which arguments should we accept and which ones should we ignore?

We have to go out on a limb and make our bets. We may get the returns we wanted, or we may not. The risks we took great care to avoid may play out, or they may not. If the risks play out, we get to feel smart; if they don’t, we get to look like fools for not getting on the bandwagon.

Investing is a humbling exercise. It shows us how powerless we are. It’s also an empowering exercise. It forces us to march on even when the path is dark and our legs trembling.

Picture by Caio Triana from Negative Space

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